I think that looks like pretty good residual value for a vehicle that cost approx. $70k vehicle when new. I just did a quick search for a 2017 BMW X5 x35i with about 30k miles, which is a car that cost about $70k when new once optioned, and I see dealers listing them at resale for about $40 to $42k. This is teeny sample, but I bet the Gen. 2 Raptor compares very favorably to other cars in its price bracket.
If you want to compare how Gen 2 holds value compared to Gen 1, you'll have to look either compare the OPs quote to a Gen 1 midway through the Gen 1 life cycle (ie, at a time when someone is choosing between new or lightly used), OR wait a few years and compare a Gen 2 a few years after the Gen 3 has come out, to current Gen 1 depreciation.
My guess, is that the Gen 2 won't hold it's value quite as well as the Gen 1, but will do better than similarly priced vehicles. They are making too many, the V6 just isn't as captivating, it's the second gen, etc... Much will be decided by Ford's future decisions: 1) Gen 3 goes back to V8 = bad for Gen 2 values; 2) Gen three is V6 and ridiculously ugly = good, 3) Gen three is v8 but ugly = who knows? 4) they cancel the raptor = gen 2 values go bonkers (not going to happen).
Also, other manufacturers are jumping in the pool, which will have an effect.
Final thought: The fact that people may not like the TRD Pro is irrelevant, they hold their value like nobodies business. I've owned two Tacomas over the years, and I really just don't get it. I don't they're bad trucks, I just seriously don't get the absurd resale.
If you want to compare how Gen 2 holds value compared to Gen 1, you'll have to look either compare the OPs quote to a Gen 1 midway through the Gen 1 life cycle (ie, at a time when someone is choosing between new or lightly used), OR wait a few years and compare a Gen 2 a few years after the Gen 3 has come out, to current Gen 1 depreciation.
My guess, is that the Gen 2 won't hold it's value quite as well as the Gen 1, but will do better than similarly priced vehicles. They are making too many, the V6 just isn't as captivating, it's the second gen, etc... Much will be decided by Ford's future decisions: 1) Gen 3 goes back to V8 = bad for Gen 2 values; 2) Gen three is V6 and ridiculously ugly = good, 3) Gen three is v8 but ugly = who knows? 4) they cancel the raptor = gen 2 values go bonkers (not going to happen).
Also, other manufacturers are jumping in the pool, which will have an effect.
Final thought: The fact that people may not like the TRD Pro is irrelevant, they hold their value like nobodies business. I've owned two Tacomas over the years, and I really just don't get it. I don't they're bad trucks, I just seriously don't get the absurd resale.