The buyout is $37k at the end of the lease, which means I owe $37k + $4600 (unpaid payments remaining) = $43600. Deduct 2 payments I made so far, and that is $42,450.
100% correct on the market value. I was thinking of selling to Carmax etc as I did that a few years ago, however due to Ford's leasing agreement recently changed I can not sell to a 3rd party. I called Carmax and Carvana and both said they can NOT buy out a Ford Lease. So if I want to try and make some money, I would have to buy it in my name and pay taxes, or more confusing, find a buyer on my own, arrange them to agree to a price, me pay the taxes, they pay me back, wait for title, transfer title etc. Just too much work and could take month. My sister inlaw just made $3k selling her Audi to Carmax, but took months to get title due to covid. I want to walk away.