According to the most recent "official" release (Aug 18 2010,
click here), Ford dealers should have stopped accepting 2010 F150 orders August 12th (with all orders due in from the dealerships Aug 19th). Orders submitted after that date will be MY 2011, with production kicking off Nov 16th.
Talon, if you submitted your order before Aug 12th, and assuming your dealership was up in the rotation, you are probably right on with the 4+4 estimate. If you submitted after Aug 12th, and or your dealer was NOT up in the rotation... well I think you're dealer may have misinformed you.
What's this "rotation" business? You may have ordered from the dealership, but are you sure the dealership has ordered from Ford? They're two different things.
I ordered too, but I worked thru a broker (not a dealership, directly). He spent a full two days contacting various dealerships before actually placing the order with one for a Raptor. When I asked why he did so, he explained that Ford, in particular, has a order-acceptance rotation. A dealership will accept your order any time of course; they want to make the sale. But what they don't tell you is when, exactly, they're next up in the rotation and can therefore submit your order to Ford. I guess the dealerships are grouped by Ford, and those groups are then presented a window of order opportunity by Ford, only during which orders are actually accepted by Ford. If the dealership isn't up, your order sits on their desk waiting till it is.
So what we did is search our state for a dealership who was currently 'up', and who was willing to give me one of their order slots (the number of accepted orders is also limited by Ford). Of the few we found that were willing, we price leveraged one against the other and ended up placing an order.
I was told that lead time from dealer submission of my order to Ford to truck delivery at that dealership was running at right around 6 weeks (back in Jan/Feb). Any time beyond that, and you know you ordered when your dealer was out of rotation. Any time less and you know you happened to order a truck that they already had incoming.
Hope all that helps. Don't get discouraged... this truck is more than worth the wait. And hell... you might wind up being one of the first 2011 Raptors around, and be one of the very first to show off that new display many of us have been drooling over