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How long is a piece of string? All depends on your driving habits.
Clearly this guy is only ever going to starbucks and back so probably 60k miles assuming he doesn't hit a speed bump or curb to hard and knock it out of alignment.
Oh, come now. Tire manufacturers guarantee their products for only a certain number of miles. Everybody knows that it's the same as the date on a carton of milk, and you need to change out your tires no later than the manufacturer's guarantee. Why else would they do that???
Oh I thought that's what the date on the side wall was, after that date has passed you're supposed to replace them or risk killing yourself!